The study published recently in Nature by Princeton University and Columbia University’s Earth Institute states that El Nino (weather cycle) and drastic weather change can trigger violence. The researchers tracked El Nino from 1950 to 2004 and correlated it with onsets of civil conflicts that killed more than 25 people in a given year. (Altogether their data set included 175 countries and 234 conflicts.)
For tropical nations affected by the El Nino cycle, they found that the chance of civil war breaking out during an El Nino was 6%, double the chance during La Nina years. (La Nina is the flip side of the El Nino cycle.) Overall, they calculated that El Nino may play a role in nearly 30% of the civil conflicts in countries strongly affected by the cycle.
El Nino cycle can drive violence by causing famine in tropical countries. The lack of food and loss of income might ultimately find way for civil conflict.
Previously in 2009 Marshall Burke, an economist from University of California-Berkeley argued that higher temperatures increased the risk of civil conflict—and that the warming predicted by 2030 could cause a 54% increase in armed civil conflict in Africa, leading to 393,000 additional battle deaths.
However climate change is not the only factor that causes conflicts. The author argues that climate can act as accelerant for violence. Click the link below to get this scientific article
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v476/n7361/full/nature10311.html
Good job by the researchers. This research once again prove the importance to control pollution which is the main reason for global climate change.
For tropical nations affected by the El Nino cycle, they found that the chance of civil war breaking out during an El Nino was 6%, double the chance during La Nina years. (La Nina is the flip side of the El Nino cycle.) Overall, they calculated that El Nino may play a role in nearly 30% of the civil conflicts in countries strongly affected by the cycle.
El Nino cycle can drive violence by causing famine in tropical countries. The lack of food and loss of income might ultimately find way for civil conflict.
Previously in 2009 Marshall Burke, an economist from University of California-Berkeley argued that higher temperatures increased the risk of civil conflict—and that the warming predicted by 2030 could cause a 54% increase in armed civil conflict in Africa, leading to 393,000 additional battle deaths.
However climate change is not the only factor that causes conflicts. The author argues that climate can act as accelerant for violence. Click the link below to get this scientific article
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v476/n7361/full/nature10311.html
Good job by the researchers. This research once again prove the importance to control pollution which is the main reason for global climate change.
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